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The commercial real estate market is closely linked to the surrounding society, as commercial buildingshave several economic, environmental, political, social and cultural influences. Correspondingly,the surrounding society, its actors and the different forces of change appearing in the market environmentalso have their own influence on the real estate market environment and its future development.However, this connection may be left without the attention it is entitled to and there is a danger thatfar-reaching decisions concerning commercial real estates will be made without sufficient analysis overpossible future development. This paper investigates how the forces of change appearing in the presentreal estate market environment may affect future commercial real estates and their market environment.The forces of change are identified with an information collection method called environmentalscanning known from future studies. After that the possible future influences of the identified forces ofchange are organized and analyzed with another future studies method called futures wheels. Finally,a holistic synthesis over the mutual future themes of the commercial real estate market is presented:(1) real estate themes: comfort, image, distinctive spaces and elements, technicality, safety and geographicallocation and transportation connectivity (2) market themes: interaction, demand for services,segregation and need for special knowledge and expertise (3) ideological themes: quality and redefinitionof attractiveness, integration of space types, diversified demand and versatility of commercial realestate and owner-occupancy vs. tenancy. The database utilized in the environmental scanning and futurewheel processes consists of 400 literary sources and 170 person sources presenting the views of differentreal estate market actors. Acknowledging the identified future themes is essential when preparing forfuture development. By being aware, it is possible to carefully study different development paths, theirprobability, essential factors and above all, the actors’ own possibilities to affect future development.© 2015 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND
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